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Insider Trading Crisis in Military Markets Uncovered by New Data on Polymarket
An alleged $400,000 insider bet by a Green Beret on a Venezuelan raid, initially thought to be an isolated incident, may be just the tip of the iceberg. The Anti-Corruption Data Collective, a nonprofit research organization, has analyzed over 435,000 Polymarket contracts and $54.4 billion in cumulative volume from January 2021 to mid-March 2026. The findings indicate that low-probability bets on …
April 30, 2026, 11:57 a.m.
Markets
Beyond the Green Beret: New Evidence Points to Widespread Insider Trading in Polymarket's Military and Defense Markets
The alleged $400,000 insider bet by a Green Beret on a Venezuela raid may be just the tip of the iceberg. A recent report by the Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC) analyzed over 435,000 Polymarket contracts and $54.4 billion in cumulative volume, finding that low-probability bets on military and defense outcomes win at rates that defy explanation by skill or luck alone. Typically, such 'longs…
April 30, 2026, 11:57 a.m.
Markets
New Evidence Suggests Widespread Insider Trading in Military Markets on Polymarket
The alleged insider trading incident involving a Green Beret is potentially just the tip of the iceberg, as new research from the Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC) suggests a broader crisis. Analyzing over 435,000 markets and $54.4 billion in volume on Polymarket, the nonprofit found that low-probability bets on military and defense outcomes have success rates that cannot be explained by ski…
April 30, 2026, 11:57 a.m.
Markets
Beyond the Green Beret: Uncovering the Depth of Insider Trading in Polymarket's Military Bets
The revelation of a Green Beret's alleged $400,000 insider bet on a Venezuelan raid initially seemed like an isolated incident. However, a new report suggests this might only be the tip of the iceberg, pointing to a potential insider trading crisis within Polymarket. The Anti-Corruption Data Collective, a nonprofit research organization, conducted an exhaustive analysis of over 435,000 settled Po…
April 30, 2026, 11:57 a.m.
Markets
New Evidence Reveals Potential Insider Trading Crisis in Military Markets on Polymarket
The alleged $400,000 insider bet by a Green Beret on a Venezuela raid may be just the tip of the iceberg. A recent report by the Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC) analyzed over 435,000 Polymarket contracts and $54.4 billion in trading volume, revealing suspiciously high win rates for low-probability bets on military and defense outcomes. Typically, such "longshot" bets succeed around 14% of …
April 30, 2026, 11:57 a.m.
Markets
New Evidence Suggests Widespread Insider Trading in Military-Related Bets on Polymarket
The alleged insider trading incident involving a Green Beret's $400,000 bet on a Venezuelan raid may be just the tip of the iceberg. A recent report by the Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC) has uncovered evidence of a potential insider trading crisis in military and defense-related bets on Polymarket. The study analyzed over 435,000 markets and $54.4 billion in cumulative volume from January…
April 30, 2026, 11:57 a.m.
Markets
Beyond the Green Beret: New Evidence Points to Widespread Insider Trading in Polymarket's Military Bets
The alleged $400,000 insider bet by a Green Beret on a Venezuela raid initially seemed like an isolated incident. However, a new report by the Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC) suggests it may be just the tip of the iceberg. The nonprofit research group analyzed over 435,000 settled Polymarket contracts and $54.4 billion in cumulative volume from January 2021 to mid-March 2026. The findings …
April 30, 2026, 11:57 a.m.
Markets
Beyond the Green Beret: New Evidence Points to Widespread Insider Trading on Polymarket
The alleged $400,000 insider bet by a Green Beret on a Venezuelan raid initially seemed like an isolated incident. However, a new report from the Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC) suggests it may be just the tip of the iceberg. After analyzing over 435,000 settled Polymarket contracts and $54.4 billion in cumulative volume from January 2021 to mid-March 2026, the nonprofit research group fou…
April 30, 2026, 11:57 a.m.
Markets
Beyond the Green Beret: Uncovering the Scope of Insider Trading in Military Markets on Polymarket
The alleged insider bet of $400,000 by a Green Beret on a Venezuelan raid, initially perceived as an isolated incident, may be just the tip of the iceberg. A recent report by the Anti-Corruption Data Collective, a nonprofit research organization, has analyzed over 435,000 settled Polymarket contracts from January 2021 to mid-March 2026, totaling $54.4 billion in cumulative volume. The findings in…
April 30, 2026, 11:57 a.m.
Markets
New Evidence Suggests Widespread Insider Trading in Military Markets on Polymarket
The alleged insider trading incident involving a Green Beret's $400,000 bet on a Venezuelan raid may be just the tip of the iceberg. A recent report by the Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC) analyzed over 435,000 Polymarket contracts and $54.4 billion in cumulative volume from January 2021 to mid-March 2026, uncovering unusually high win rates for low-probability bets on military and defense …
April 30, 2026, 11:57 a.m.