Study Reveals Only a Small Percentage of Traders Drive Prediction Market Accuracy
A recent scandal involving a Green Beret betting on a classified US raid may be more than an isolated incident, as a new study suggests it could represent an extreme example of informed traders who significantly influence prices in prediction markets, such as Polymarket, while the majority of participants incur losses. The study, conducted by researchers from London Business School and Yale, anal…
April 26, 2026, 1:47 p.m.