An upcoming HBO documentary, directed by Emmy-nominated Cullen Hoback, promises to unveil the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the creator of Bitcoin. Polymarket bettors believe that Len Sassaman, a cryptographer who passed away in 2011, will be named as the person behind the pseudonym. Sassaman's extensive work on cryptography and his strong commitment to decentralization and privacy have led many to speculate about his involvement in the creation of Bitcoin. The documentary's release has sparked intense speculation, with some bettors giving a 32% chance that the true identity of Satoshi will be someone else or a group of people.
Meanwhile, another contract on the prediction market site suggests an 89% chance that Satoshi's identity will not be definitively proven in 2024. This is not the first attempt to unmask Satoshi, as Newsweek previously claimed to have found him in 2014, but the lead ultimately turned out to be a false one.