Bitcoin Bulls Face Resistance as Economic Indicators Signal Caution
After reaching above $79,000, Bitcoin pulled back to $76,500, stalling its rally from late-March lows. Recent economic releases do not support a significant bullish move, with the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index falling to 49.8, driven by inflationary pressures. Inflation expectations have also risen, which could limit the Federal Reserve's ability to signal interest-rate cuts, potentially capping upside in BTC and other risk assets. Analysts note that the long-term expectations move is particularly concerning for the Fed, as it suggests inflation psychology may be becoming unanchored. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates steady, while traders are pricing in a potential Bank of Japan rate increase in June. Sustained ETF inflows are crucial for supporting spot BTC, and coordinated industry efforts have helped DeFi tokens hold up despite the KelpDAO exploit. Bitcoin's hourly price swings show a potential uptrend exhaustion, with prices trading at a discount to their 50- and 200-hour averages, pointing to scope for a deeper price pullback.