The Impact of Bitcoin's $7.9 Billion April Options Expiry on Price Movements
Approximately $7.9 billion in bitcoin options are set to expire on Deribit, with key levels to watch being $62,000 and $75,000, according to positioning data. The $75,000 mark has seen substantial trading in call options, representing bullish bets, with around $395 million in call open interest concentrated at this strike. Furthermore, 'gamma exposure' is deeply negative at the $75,000 strike, indicating that dealers' hedging flows may amplify price movements around this level, potentially creating a zone of heightened volatility. The largest concentration of put open interest is at $62,000, with roughly $330 million in contracts, marking the primary zone of downside protection. The 'max pain' level of $71,000 may act as a magnet heading into the expiry, with the options market effectively positioned between $62,000 and $75,000. Unlike the previous month, when bitcoin traded below the max pain level, the market is now above it, testing whether bitcoin can sustain its gains. A potential short squeeze may occur if prices remain above $75,000, with bears possibly closing their bearish bets and adding to the upward momentum.