How Bitcoin's $7.9 Billion April Options Expiration Could Impact Price
Approximately $7.9 billion in bitcoin options are set to expire on Deribit, with key levels to watch being $62,000 and $75,000, according to positioning data. The $75,000 level has seen the most call option trading, representing bullish bets, with around $395 million in open interest. This level has deeply negative gamma exposure, meaning dealers' hedging flows may amplify price movements, creating a zone of heightened volatility. The largest concentration of put open interest is at $62,000, with roughly $330 million in contracts, marking the main zone of downside protection. The max pain level of $71,000 could act as a magnet heading into expiration. The options market is situated between $62,000 and $75,000, with $71,000 as a midpoint. Unlike March, when bitcoin traded below max pain, the market is now above it, testing whether bitcoin can maintain its gains. A potential short squeeze higher is possible, with negative funding rates in perpetual futures indicating a buildup of short positions that could fuel a squeeze if prices hold higher. If prices remain resilient above $75,000, bears may square off their bearish bets, adding to the upward momentum. Deribit now holds around $31 billion in open interest, surpassing even BlackRock's IBIT, which stands near $28 billion.