How Bitcoin's $7.9 Billion April Options Expiration Could Influence Price
Approximately $7.9 billion worth of bitcoin options are set to expire on Deribit, with key levels to watch being $62,000 and $75,000 according to positioning data. The $75,000 level has seen the most trading activity in call options, which are bets on a price increase, with around $395 million in call open interest. This level also has deeply negative gamma exposure, meaning that dealers' hedging activities may amplify price movements. As a result, the $75,000 level could be a zone of heightened volatility. On the other hand, the largest concentration of put open interest is at $62,000, providing the main zone of downside protection. The max pain level of $71,000 could act as a magnet heading into the expiration. The options market is currently positioned between $62,000 and $75,000, with $71,000 as a midpoint. Unlike in March, when bitcoin traded below the max pain point, the market is now above it, testing whether bitcoin can maintain its gains. A potential short squeeze could occur if prices remain above $75,000, with bears possibly closing their short positions and adding to the upward momentum.