How Bitcoin's $7.9 Billion Options Expiration in April Could Impact Price
Approximately $7.9 billion in bitcoin options are set to expire on Deribit, with key levels to watch being $62,000 and $75,000, the latter being where most call option trading has occurred, with around $395 million in open interest. The 'gamma exposure' at this level is deeply negative, which could amplify price movements. A zone of heightened volatility is expected around $75,000, with price swings becoming more pronounced. The largest concentration of put open interest is at $62,000, marking the primary area of downside protection. The 'max pain' level of $71,000 could act as a magnet heading into expiration. The options market is positioned between $62,000 and $75,000, with $71,000 as a midpoint. Unlike in March, when bitcoin traded below the max pain point, the market is now above it, testing whether bitcoin can maintain its gains. A potential short squeeze higher is possible, with negative funding rates in perpetual futures indicating a buildup of short positions. If prices remain above $75,000, bears may close their bearish bets, adding to the upward momentum.