Bitcoin's Price Boost from Ceasefire News Begins to Lose Steam as Investors Await Tangible Progress
The recent surge in Bitcoin's price, fueled by the U.S.-Iran ceasefire, is starting to lose momentum as markets await concrete results. After briefly surpassing $76,000, the cryptocurrency's price has fallen back, mirroring the choppy pattern seen on Tuesday. This stall comes after a 10% increase, largely driven by the ceasefire news from the previous week. However, despite ongoing optimism and President Donald Trump's suggestion that the conflict is nearing its end, progress in restoring oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz remains limited. QCP Capital notes that a ceasefire extension alone is no longer sufficient, and markets require tangible progress such as the restoration of energy flows and clearer disinflation. Traders should monitor oil prices, as signs of normalization are likely to emerge in energy markets first. The decline in Bitcoin and Ether's 30-day implied volatility indexes suggests traders expect significant progress soon. Meanwhile, Solana and DOGE may experience increased volatility due to rising demand for leveraged exposure. Alex Kuptsikevich, FxPro's chief market analyst, states that Solana has outperformed the market but needs to consolidate above $105 to signal a bull victory. The MOVE index, which measures volatility in U.S. Treasury notes, has declined to 65%, reversing the war-led spike to 115% in March, which is bullish for risk assets. The chart shows Bitcoin's hourly price action, highlighting a steady upward trajectory but also a developing double-top pattern, indicating potential exhaustion in bullish momentum.