Bitcoin Rally Pauses Near $75,000: On-Chain Data Reveals Reason Behind the Slowdown
Having risen by nearly 10% this month, Bitcoin's price surge has encountered resistance near the $75,000 mark. This pause is particularly notable given the current record highs in U.S. stocks. On-chain data suggests that holders are selling into the strength of the market, contributing to the slowdown. The realized profit/loss indicator, which tracks the total dollar value of gains or losses realized by holders when they move their coins, shows that investors are selling at a profit. Values above 1 on this indicator signify increased profit-taking, and the 30-day exponential moving average is currently above this threshold, highlighting a broader trend of realized profits. According to analytics firm Glassnode, 'A sustained move above $78.1K will require the market to absorb this overhead supply, as profit-taking activity is rising with the 30D EMA of the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio at 1.16, indicating investors are selling into strength.' On Tuesday, profit-taking was particularly strong as Bitcoin briefly approached $76,000 before slipping back below $75,000, with investors realizing around $1.14 billion in profits. Although this indicator has its limitations, assuming coins moving on-chain are being sold, the latest signal aligns with other indicators such as the cumulative volume delta, suggesting demand is concentrated on specific exchanges. The CVD measures the aggressiveness of buyers and sellers, showing whether the market is driven more by buyers demanding liquidity or sellers hitting bids. Currently, buyers are aggressive mainly on Binance but not on other exchanges like Coinbase. CEO of Giottus, Vikram Subburaj, notes that sentiment is improving but conviction is not yet fully established, with funding rates remaining slightly negative and on-chain activity slowing down. Furthermore, bitcoin options trading on Deribit continues to show a bias for put options, indicating lingering downside fears. Overall, the combination of profit-taking pressure, uneven spot demand, and cautious derivatives positioning suggests that buyers are absorbing supply but not overwhelming it.