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Policy

Prediction markets lift odds for the Clarity Act, but cryptocurrency legislation still faces a long journey

The recent surge in activity on prediction‑market platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket has drawn significant attention to the evolving landscape of U.S. cryptocurrency regulation. Both platforms, which allow users to wager on the outcome of political and legislative events, have reported a sharp rise in the implied probability that the so‑called "Clarity Act"—the informal name for a comprehens…

Sept. 14, 2026, 3:10 p.m.

Policy

Prediction markets lift odds for the Clarity Act, but cryptocurrency legislation still faces a long journey

The recent activity on two of the most prominent prediction‑market platforms, Kalshi and Polymarket, has dramatically altered the perceived probability that the United States will pass comprehensive legislation governing the structure of cryptocurrency markets. Both platforms, which allow participants to place bets on the outcomes of political and regulatory events, have seen their odds for the p…

Sept. 14, 2026, 3:10 p.m.

Policy

Prediction Markets Boost Odds for Clarity Act, Yet Crypto Legislation Still Faces Hurdles

The recent activity on prediction‑market platforms has drawn considerable attention from both investors and policymakers, as it appears to be reshaping expectations around the fate of the so‑called Clarity Act—a piece of legislation aimed at establishing a clearer regulatory framework for the United States’ burgeoning cryptocurrency sector. Two of the most prominent markets, Kalshi and Polymarket…

Sept. 14, 2026, 3:10 p.m.

Policy

Prediction Markets Boost Odds for Clarity Act, Yet Crypto Reform Still Faces Hurdles

The recent activity on prediction‑market platforms has injected fresh optimism into the prospects for the so‑called Clarity Act, the legislative effort aimed at overhauling the United States’ cryptocurrency market framework. Users on both Kalshi and Polymarket have dramatically lifted the implied probability that the bill will clear the Senate, signaling a shift in market sentiment that could hav…

Sept. 14, 2026, 3:10 p.m.

Policy

Prediction markets lift odds for Clarity Act, but crypto legislation still faces a long road

In recent weeks, the landscape surrounding the United States’ effort to bring clarity and structure to the cryptocurrency market has been closely watched by investors, regulators, and industry participants alike. A key piece of that effort is the so‑called "Clarity Act," a legislative proposal that aims to establish a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, ranging from stablecoins…

Sept. 14, 2026, 3:10 p.m.

Policy

Prediction Markets Lift Odds for Clarity Act, Yet Crypto Legislation Still Faces Hurdles

The recent activity on prediction‑market platforms has sparked a noticeable shift in how analysts and investors view the future of the United States’ cryptocurrency regulatory framework. Two of the most prominent markets, Kalshi and Polymarket, have seen their odds for the passage of the so‑called Clarity Act—a bill designed to bring greater transparency and structure to the crypto ecosystem—rise…

Sept. 14, 2026, 3:10 p.m.

Policy

Prediction markets lift odds for the Clarity Act, but crypto legislation still faces a long journey

In recent weeks, the world of prediction markets has turned its attention to a piece of legislation that could reshape the regulatory landscape for digital assets in the United States. The so‑called Clarity Act, a bipartisan effort aimed at establishing a clear, consistent framework for crypto exchanges, custodians, and other market participants, has become a focal point for traders on platforms …

Sept. 14, 2026, 3:10 p.m.

Policy

Prediction Markets Raise Odds for Clarity Act, Yet Crypto Legislation Still Faces a Lengthy Path

In recent weeks, the landscape surrounding U.S. cryptocurrency regulation has been dominated by a flurry of activity on both Capitol Hill and the burgeoning world of prediction markets. Two of the most prominent platforms that allow participants to wager on political and legislative outcomes—Kalshi and Polymarket—have both posted dramatic revisions to their odds, indicating a much higher probabil…

Sept. 14, 2026, 3:10 p.m.

Policy

Prediction Markets Boost Odds for Clarity Act, Yet Crypto Legislation Still Faces a Lengthy Path

The recent activity on prediction‑market platforms has drawn considerable attention from both industry observers and policymakers, as bettors on sites such as Kalshi and Polymarket have dramatically raised the odds that the United States will see progress on its long‑awaited crypto market‑structure legislation, commonly referred to as the Clarity Act. While this surge in market confidence suggest…

Sept. 14, 2026, 3:10 p.m.

Policy

Prediction Markets Boost Clarity Act Prospects, Yet Crypto Legislation Still Faces Significant Hurdles

In recent weeks, the landscape surrounding the United States’ effort to overhaul its cryptocurrency regulatory framework has been dramatically reshaped by activity on two prominent prediction‑market platforms, Kalabi and Polymarket. Both sites, which allow participants to place wagers on the likelihood of future political and economic events, have reported a sharp uptick in the implied probabilit…

Sept. 14, 2026, 3:10 p.m.