New Study Reveals Only a Small Group of Informed Traders Drives Prediction Market Accuracy
A recent scandal involving a Green Beret accused of betting on a classified US raid may be more than an isolated incident, according to a new study. The research, conducted by scholars from London Business School and Yale, indicates that a small group of informed traders, like the accused soldier, are actually responsible for driving prices on platforms like Polymarket, while the majority of user…
April 26, 2026, 1:47 p.m.